EU Alert

Winter economic forecast 2022: after winter slowdown, growth will regain momentum – On 10.2.2022, the Commission published its winter economic forecast 2022, according to which the EU economy will grow by 4.0 % in 2022 and 2.8 % in 2023. Growth in the eurozone will also stand at 4.0 % in 2022, before falling to 2.7 % in 2023. According to the Commission, the EU as a whole returned to pre-pandemic GDP levels in the third quarter of 2021 and all Member States are expected to reach this target by the end of 2022. With regard to economic growth, the Commission notes that although the slowdown (0.4 % growth in the last quarter of 2021 compared to 2.2 % in the previous quarter) was already indicated in the autumn 2021 economic forecast, it turned out to be more pronounced than expected with the intensification of growth-hampering factors such as the increase in the number of contagions, high energy prices and continuing supply problems. In addition, logistical and supply problems, including shortages of semiconductors and some metallic raw materials, are expected to continue to weigh on output, at least throughout the first half of the year; and energy prices are expected to remain high for a longer period than estimated in the autumn forecast, exerting a greater dampening effect on the economy and increasing inflationary pressures. As regards the inflation outlook, it has been revised markedly upwards compared to the autumn forecast, owing to the effects of higher energy prices but also to the intensification of inflationary pressures since the autumn on other asset categories. In particular, after reaching a record rate of 4.6 % in the fourth quarter of 2021, inflation in the euro area is expected to peak at 4.8 % in the first quarter of 2022 and remain above 3 % until the third quarter of the year. As pressures from supply problems and high energy prices fade away, inflation is expected to fall to 2.1 % in the last quarter of the year and then remain below the European Central Bank’s target of 2 % for the whole of 2023. Overall, inflation in the eurozone is forecast to rise from 2.6 % in 2021 (2.9 % in the EU) to 3.5 % (3.9 % in the EU) in 2022, and then fall to 1.7 % (1.9 % in the EU) in 2023.

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European Transport Workers’ Federation

ETS: calls on Commission and Member States to take action for sustainable and quality shipping – On 10.2.2022, the ETS proposed an initiative to create a sustainable European maritime space, calling on the Commission and Member States to contribute by improving the living and working conditions of seafarers and protecting jobs and skills in maritime matters.

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Mims: collaboration agreement signed with the General Command of the Port Authorities and the Association of Italian Ports – On 9.2.2022, Mims signed a collaboration agreement with the General Command of the Port Authorities, the Coast Guard and the Association of Italian Ports in order to strengthen the competitiveness of the national port and logistics system. The agreement provides for the establishment of a joint committee that will be responsible for studying and analysing issues of common interest, whose assessments will then be referred to the relevant Ministry.

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Unrae: industrial vehicle registrations – On 10.2.2022, UNRAE published the January industrial vehicle registration data, which showed a 1% increase compared to January 2021 for registrations of vehicles over 3.5 tonnes. In particular, among the data reported, the real growth was for registrations of vehicles of 16 tonnes and above, which showed an increase of 3.6%.

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